In the end, cooler heads prevailed – at least for now. A fragile pause has emerged in the conflict between the USA and Iran after Donald Trump announced a two-week ceasefire to allow negotiations towards a potential agreement. The arrangement includes reopening the Strait of Hormuz and suspending hostilities, offering temporary relief after escalating threats of major military action. While markets responded positively, significant uncertainty remains, as many key issues are unresolved. Reactions within the US and elsewhere have been mixed, with many saying that Trump’s threat that ‘a whole civilisation will die tonight’ could be regarded as a war crime. One commentator has said, ‘A nation that once styled itself as a force for stability around the globe is now shaking the foundations of the international order. A president who has seemingly relished shattering norms and traditions in domestic politics is now doing the same on the world stage.’ Meanwhile, Israel has continued its attacks on Lebanon, saying that its conflict with Hezbollah is not affected by the ceasefire: see